Chill Out - Maine Could Have A Milder-Than-Average Winter
20 October, 2018, 11:26 | Author: Kelly Sanders
The Southeast, Tennessee Valley, Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic all have equal chances for below-, near- or above-average temperatures.
An El Niño is an irregularly occurring atmospheric event caused by the development of a warm band of ocean water off the Pacific coast of South America. "Although a weak El Nino is expected, it may still influence the winter season by bringing wetter conditions across the southern United States, and warmer, drier conditions to parts of the North".
In the winter, the NOAA said, typical El Nino conditions include wetter-than-average precipitation in the southern us and drier conditions in parts of the northern U.S.
No part of the United States is expected to have below-average temperatures, according to the outlook. Northern Florida and southern Georgia have the greatest odds for above-average precipitation during the winter, the NOAA said.
"NOAA's seasonal outlooks give the likelihood that temperatures and precipitation will be above-, near- or below-average, and how drought conditions are expected to change, but the outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations", reads a disclaimer from the forecasters. "The maps show only the most likely category with higher probability indicating greater confidence".
Drought conditions are forecast to stay put this winter in the Southwest, Southern California, central Great Basin, central Rockies, Northern Plains and portions of the interior Pacific Northwest.
The same NOAA report expects ME to have about an average winter in terms of precipitation. It essentially says we should expect a normal/average winter. Portland averages 13 inches, 19 inches and 12 inches of snow in the three months in question, while Bangor averages 14 inches, 19 inches and 15 inches, respectively. Look for that in a few weeks to come. They will provide you with estimated snowfall totals for the winter in Eastern Kentucky.
As for that other big winter factor - snow - Halpert says the weather service has no prediction for Maine.
Even so, it's no time to ditch the shovels and heavy winter jackets, with NOAA warning that its forecast does not mean the winter of 2018-2019 will not feature major snowstorms.
Last winter ranked among the warmest third in historical records, 1.8 degrees above normal averaged over the nation.
-At this point of the year, we should be starting to think about winter and preparing for some cold and snowy days!
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